@lightweight I agree with the sentiment, but COVID-19 isn't deadly enough to make a significant dent. Even adding in hospitalizations without death, that might make some reconsider support of the USA's costly healthcare system, you still don't even get to 10%.
@lightweight you have to factor in electoral college.
@lwriemen true - but they don't apply for local races, e.g. at the state level, do they?
@lightweight No, but in the Trump leaning states (which was part of the original assumption), gerrymandering has probably rendered most state level races to be favored Republican by many tens of points.
@lwriemen seems to me lits of tight races are decided by fractions of a %, no?