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Thre is a new (October 14, yesterday) paper on the Infection Mortality Rate for Covid-19, published on the World Health Organization website.

who.int/bulletin/online_first/

Read the whole thing of course. I am publishing the summary paragraph from page 10, in the next post (due to 500 character limit).

who.int/bulletin/online_first/

"..over half a billion people have been infected as of 12 September, 2020, far more than the
approximately 29 million documented laboratory-confirmed cases. Most locations probably have
an infection fatality rate less than 0.20% and with appropriate, precise non-pharmacological
measures that selectively try to protect high-risk vulnerable populations and settings, the infection
fatality rate may be brought even lower."

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Hopefully, if resources are applied correctly, we can protect the elderly and others at risk. But the estimate of ~0.20% seems to be consistent with the CDC estimate in the spring. Still dangerous, but could have been a lot worse.

Also, if half a billion people are already infected (over 10x the official case count), hopefully some locations will start to develop herd immunity, at least until a trusted vaccine is available.

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